The Indian rupee is likely to open weaker on Tuesday, weighed down by a jump in the dollar index following a steep decline in the euro, as investors digested the implications of the recent US-EU trade deal.

“Further euro strength is likely to be self-defeating,” said Valentin Marinov, a currency strategist at Crédit Agricole, a French bank. Exports were already likely to weaken and become a drag on the eurozone economy because of U.S. tariffs and European government policies that would encourage more imports.

The EU needs more than a digital euro to respond effectively to the USD stablecoin surge, according to ECB adviser Jürgen Schaaf.

The pound briefly hit a two-year low versus the euro on Monday, before rebounding, and dipped on the dollar, though its moves were largely a function of those elsewhere as investors digested the announcement of an EU-U.

There is a chance for Euro (EUR) to rise above 1.1775 against US Dollar (USD); the major resistance at 1.1795 is likely out of reach for now. In the longer run, price action indicates further EUR strength, likely toward 1.1795, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.

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